tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13378665.post9191831307572557310..comments2024-03-01T16:32:41.076+08:00Comments on Sun Bin: When will China overtake the US economically?Sun Binhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08093210384069958083noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13378665.post-44791126233597207252008-07-29T11:25:00.000+08:002008-07-29T11:25:00.000+08:00打折机票飞机票特价机票 国际机票 上海机票 上海中铁上海物流公司上海货运公司物流公司货运公司上海物流...<A HREF="http://www.01fly.com.cn" REL="nofollow">打折机票</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.01fly.com.cn" REL="nofollow">飞机票</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.01fly.com.cn" REL="nofollow">特价机票</A> <BR/><A HREF="http://www.01fly.com.cn" REL="nofollow">国际机票</A> <BR/><A HREF="http://www.01fly.com.cn" REL="nofollow">上海机票</A> <BR/><A HREF="http://www.didicars.cn" REL="nofollow">上海中铁</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.didicars.cn" REL="nofollow">上海物流公司</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.didicars.cn" REL="nofollow">上海货运公司</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.didicars.cn" REL="nofollow">物流公司</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.didicars.cn" REL="nofollow">货运公司</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.didicars.cn" REL="nofollow">上海物流</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.shdz-bc.cn" REL="nofollow">搬家公司</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.shdz-bc.cn" REL="nofollow">上海搬场公司</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.shdz-bc.cn" REL="nofollow">上海搬场</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.shdz-bc.cn" REL="nofollow">上海搬家公司</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.shdz-bc.cn" REL="nofollow">搬场公司</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.shdz-bc.cn" REL="nofollow">上海搬家</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.dz-bc.com.cn" REL="nofollow">大众搬场公司</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.dz-bc.com.cn" REL="nofollow">大众搬场</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.dz-bc.com.cn" REL="nofollow">上海大众搬场</A><BR/><A HREF="http://www.didicars.cn" REL="nofollow">上海物流</A>Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13378665.post-36549142076563218332008-02-28T17:43:00.000+09:002008-02-28T17:43:00.000+09:00No one has ever concluded any transaction of any k...No one has ever concluded any transaction of any kind with money based on purchasing power parity.<BR/><BR/>PPP measures the exchange rate -- only -- between two different places, based on an URBAN, CONSUMER basket of goods.<BR/><BR/>No industrial goods.<BR/>No foreign trade.<BR/>No rural residents.<BR/><BR/>Now, once you've stripped all that out of China's GDP figures, you're not left with much of a national economy.<BR/><BR/>PPP can, in the right circumstances, provide some insight into comparative personal or household private consumption.<BR/><BR/>Hong Kong vs. Singapore works; USA vs. China cannot.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13378665.post-27731463871218932832008-02-28T12:43:00.000+09:002008-02-28T12:43:00.000+09:00The government target has usually been conservativ...The government target has usually been conservative. eg Deng has a quadruple (翻两番) target in 20 years when he took over in 1980. the target was achieved in about 12-13 years, i think.<BR/><BR/>however, the exchange rate is an aberration. that is why i used PPP instead (though it is not perfect either -- see comment in my previous post).<BR/><BR/>p.s. roach: i suppose it is the same talk linked by my post a couple weeks ago. there are some interesting figures and insights there, IMHO.Sun Binhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08093210384069958083noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13378665.post-81474466180704340062008-02-27T23:31:00.000+09:002008-02-27T23:31:00.000+09:00呀,不過,如果把通脹和人民幣升值都計算進去的話,又不是那麼遙不可及了...呀,不過,如果把通脹和人民幣升值都計算進去的話,又不是那麼遙不可及了...Leonahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17706959444052699630noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13378665.post-37792848652237310062008-02-27T23:20:00.000+09:002008-02-27T23:20:00.000+09:00Sun Bin, 聽過鄧小平的"三步走"策略嗎?還有胡錦濤的"新三步走"?按鄧的推算,屆2050年,...Sun Bin, 聽過鄧小平的"三步走"策略嗎?<BR/>還有胡錦濤的"新三步走"?<BR/><BR/>按鄧的推算,屆2050年,即使中國的GDP已自目前的翻了兩番,也只是60,000億;距美國的140,000億遠著<BR/><BR/>按胡錦濤的新三步走,以人均GDP計算,屆時也只到11,000,距40,000仍遠<BR/><BR/>另外,今日去了聽Stephen Roach的演講,老生常談,悶出鳥來!Leonahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17706959444052699630noreply@blogger.com